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17.11.2015
The coming weather


In the Pacific Northwest:

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2015/11/wet-and-windy.html


We are stuck in the same weather situation---virtually an ANTI-El
NINO pattern--with persistent high pressure northeast of Hawaii steering
moisture nearly due east over our region (see map). One system after another is
traversing the northern part of the high pressure area, right into us.




Drought talk is no longer appropriate....our water situation,
including the levels of our reservoirs, is now in good shape. During the past
two weeks we have received enough water to supply our urban areas for six
months. And I didn't even talk about the modest rain and wind on Monday and the
system on late Wednesday.



http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/el-nio-of-2015-hits-alltime-record-strength-for-a-1week-period



Incredibly warm waters continue to build across the equatorial Pacific, and the
El Niño event of 2015 has just set a record for the warmest waters ever observed
in the equatorial Pacific over a 1-week period.

El Niño can't get much stronger than it is now, though, since there simply isn't
enough warm water available in the Western Pacific to transport to the Eastern
Pacific; wunderblogger Steve Gregory speculated in his Friday post that El Niño
may now be peaking, and will begin a slow decline over the the next three
months. Even so, El Niño will decline only gradually, and we can expect
significant global impacts on weather during the coming winter.

Drought in Australia

Drought in parts of southern and northern Australia typical for El Niño has
already begun in 2015, and may cut as much as 1 percent off of the country's
GDP, said Andrew Watkins, supervisor of climate prediction services at the
Australian Bureau of Meteorology, in an AP interview. October 2015 was
Australia’s hottest month ever recorded, and rainfall was below average over
most of the country. Two of the three most expensive droughts in Australia’s
history occurred during the moderate El Niño years of 2002 and 1992.

North America: cool and wet in the south, warm in the north

Bob Henson's July 2015 post, What to Expect from El Niño: North America,
discussed in great detail the usual impacts El Niño has on the winter weather in
North America. These include potential drought-easing rains for California;
milder and drier weather in the Pacific Northwest, Northern Plains, and western
Canada; below-average snowfall in the Northern Rockies and above average in the
Southern Rockies; and rainy and cool across the Gulf Coast. The impacts on the
Northeast U.S. are more complicated, as he discussed in his follow-up post, What
to Expect from El Niño: How Much Snow Back East? His post from last Friday, Will
El Niño Bring a December Warm Wave to North America? Has the latest on what to
expect in North America from El Niño.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/will-el-nio-bring-a-december-warm-wave-to-north-america



http://OzReport.com/1447777959
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