https://wunderground.atavist.com/el-nino-forecast

The weekly sea surface temperature reading, taken within the Niño
3.4 region near the equator, has again dropped slightly, now at 2.7°C above
average. This is down from the 3.1°C peak in late November 2015, which was the
highest weekly value observed during any El Niño event in NOAA’s records. This
week’s reading is just below the top weekly departure of 2.8°C recorded in late
November 1997 during the record-setting 1997-98 El Niño.

According to NOAA’s latest monthly outlook, El Niño conditions are expected to
remain strong through the winter of 2015-16, transitioning to neutral conditions
(neither El Niño nor La Niña) by late spring or early summer 2016. The 2015-16
El Niño event will likely end up as one of the three strongest El Niños since
1950. Outlooks generally favor cooler and wetter than usual conditions across
the southern U.S., and drier and milder than average conditions over the
northern tier of states.