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While XCSkies said that we would have eighteen knot winds at
4,000' (launch level) at 2 PM, it was very quiet down in Mt. Beauty and we
didn't have any clouds to give us an indication of the actual winds up above
(the forecast was for winds four knots higher than yesterday). We didn't get a
good answer on whether we should have acted on the weather models from yesterday
from the pilots who did fly, so there was some uncertainty about how much trust
to put in them today.

Going up the hill to check out the conditions was a low cost option. What did we
have to lose? We are here to fly after all.

The safety committee asked us to come back at noon to make the decision. We did
and I decided to send us up to Emu to see if we could fly.

The launching conditions seemed fine. The task committee came up with a task,
but only two members were there. Olli was flying the sailplane. Lukas wasn't set
up. Rohan wanted to go big over the back.

Cameron Tunbridge took off to show us the conditions. There were cumulus clouds
now and we could see some for ourselves. He reported 18 knot winds as forecast
and rough conditions. Corinna on the safety committee was also getting reports
from Olli in the sailplane.

The winds picked up on launch., We started seeing lenticular clouds, one other
the valley that Cameron was under. The safety committee was not happy with
launch conditions, the turbulence in the air, and the task. I had the task
committee change the task, well Rohan, as Lukas was against flying at all.

Finally I called the day when no one was making a move toward launch or
indicating that they wanted to fly. The lenticulars continued to stack up
throughout the area, a cloud mass moved in from the west, and now at 9 PM it is
raining.